Glossary of Climate Change Terms

A

Abrupt Climate Change 
Sudden (on the order of decades), large changes in some major component of the climate system, with rapid, widespread effects.

Adaptation 
Adjustment or preparation of natural or human systems to a new or changing environment which moderates harm or exploits beneficial opportunities.

Adaptive Capacity 
The ability of a system to adjust to climate change (including climate variability and extremes) to moderate potential damages, to take advantage of opportunities, or to cope with the consequences.

Aerosols 
Small particles or liquid droplets in the atmosphere that can absorb or reflect sunlight depending on their composition.

Afforestation 
Planting of new forests on lands that historically have not contained forests. [1]

Albedo 
The amount of solar radiation reflected from an object or surface, often expressed as a percentage.

Alternative Energy 
Energy derived from nontraditional sources (e.g., compressed natural gas, solar, hydroelectric, wind). [2]

Annex I Countries/Parties 
Group of countries included in Annex I (as amended in 1998) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, including all the developed countries in the Organization of Economic Co-operation and Development, and economies in transition. By default, the other countries are referred to as Non-Annex I countries. Under Articles 4.2 (a) and 4.2 (b) of the Convention, Annex I countries commit themselves specifically to the aim of returning individually or jointly to their 1990 levels of greenhouse gas emissions by the year 2000. [2]

Anthropogenic 
Made by people or resulting from human activities. Usually used in the context of emissions that are produced as a result of human activities. [3]

Atmosphere 
The gaseous envelope surrounding the Earth. The dry atmosphere consists almost entirely of nitrogen (78.1% volume mixing ratio) and oxygen (20.9% volume mixing ratio), together with a number of trace gases, such as argon (0.93% volume mixing ratio), helium, radiatively active greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide (0.035% volume mixing ratio), and ozone. In addition the atmosphere contains water vapor, whose amount is highly variable but typically 1% volume mixing ratio. The atmosphere also contains clouds and aerosols. [1]

Atmospheric Lifetime 
Atmospheric lifetime is the average time that a molecule resides in the atmosphere before it is removed by chemical reaction or deposition. This can also be thought of as the time that it takes after the human-caused emission of a gas for the concentrations of that gas in the atmosphere to return to natural levels. Greenhouse gas lifetimes can range from a few years to a few thousand years.

B

Biofuels 
Gas or liquid fuel made from plant material (biomass).  Includes wood, wood waste, wood liquors, peat, railroad ties, wood sludge, spent sulfite liquors, agricultural waste, straw, tires, fish oils, tall oil, sludge waste, waste alcohol, municipal solid waste, landfill gases, other waste, and ethanol blended into motor gasoline. [4]

Biogeochemical Cycle 
Movements through the Earth system of key chemical constituents essential to life, such as carbon, nitrogen, oxygen, and phosphorus. [3]

Biomass 
Materials that are biological in origin, including organic material (both living and dead) from above and below ground, for example, trees, crops, grasses, tree litter, roots, and animals and animal waste. [4]

Biosphere 
The part of the Earth system comprising all ecosystems and living organisms, in the atmosphere, on land (terrestrial biosphere) or in the oceans (marine biosphere), including derived dead organic matter, such as litter, soil organic matter and oceanic detritus. [1]

Black Carbon Aerosol 
Black carbon (BC) is the most strongly light-absorbing component of particulate matter (PM), and is formed by the incomplete combustion of fossil fuels, biofuels, and biomass. It is emitted directly into the atmosphere in the form of fine particles (PM2.5).

Borehole 
Any exploratory hole drilled into the Earth or ice to gather geophysical data. Climate researchers often take ice core samples, a type of borehole, to predict atmospheric composition in earlier years. 


ادامه نوشته

?Climate change: How do we know  

Variation in carbon dioxide concentration during the past 400,000 years (historical data from the Vostock ice core).

This graph, based on the comparison of atmospheric samples contained in ice cores and more recent direct measurements,
provides evidence that atmospheric CO2 has increased since the Industrial Revolution. (Source: NOAA)

The Earth's climate has changed throughout history. Just in the last 650,000 years there have been seven cycles of glacial advance and retreat, with the abrupt end of the last ice age about 7,000 years ago marking the beginning of the modern climate era — and of human civilization. Most of these climate changes are attributed to very small variations in Earth’s orbit that change the amount of solar energy our planet receives.

"Scientific evidence for warming of the climate system is unequivocal."
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

The current warming trend is of particular significance because most of it is very likely human-induced and proceeding at a rate that is unprecedented in the past 1,300 years.1

Earth-orbiting satellites and other technological advances have enabled scientists to see the big picture, collecting many different types of information about our planet and its climate on a global scale. Studying these climate data collected over many years reveal the signals of a changing climate.

Certain facts about Earth's climate are not in dispute:

  • The heat-trapping nature of carbon dioxide and other gases was demonstrated in the mid-19th century.2 Their ability to affect the transfer of infrared energy through the atmosphere is the scientific basis of many JPL-designed instruments, such as AIRS. Increased levels of greenhouse gases must cause the Earth to warm in response.
  • Ice cores drawn from Greenland, Antarctica, and tropical mountain glaciers show that the Earth’s climate responds to changes in solar output, in the Earth’s orbit, and in greenhouse gas levels. They also show that in the past, large changes in climate have happened very quickly, geologically-speaking: in tens of years, not in millions or even thousands.3

The evidence for rapid climate change is compelling:


Republic of Maldives: Vulnerable to sea level rise
Republic of Maldives: Vulnerable to sea level rise

Sea level rise

Global sea level rose about 17 centimeters (6.7 inches) in the last century. The rate in the last decade, however, is nearly double that of the last century.4

The effects of climate change will likely include more frequent droughts in some areas and heavier precipitation in others.

Global temperature rise

All three major global surface temperature reconstructions show that Earth has warmed since 1880. 5 Most of this warming has occurred since the 1970s, with the 20 warmest years having occurred since 1981 and with all 10 of the warmest years occurring in the past 12 years. 6 Even though the 2000s witnessed a solar output decline resulting in an unusually deep solar minimum in 2007-2009, surface temperatures continue to increase. 7

The oceans have absorbed much of this increased heat, with the top 700 meters (about 2,300 feet) of ocean showing warming of 0.302 degrees Fahrenheit since 1969.

Warming oceans

The oceans have absorbed much of this increased heat, with the top 700 meters (about 2,300 feet) of ocean showing warming of 0.302 degrees Fahrenheit since 1969.8

Flowing meltwater from the Greenland ice sheet
Flowing meltwater from the Greenland ice sheet

Shrinking ice sheets

The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets have decreased in mass. Data from NASA's Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment show Greenland lost 150 to 250 cubic kilometers (36 to 60 cubic miles) of ice per year between 2002 and 2006, while Antarctica lost about 152 cubic kilometers (36 cubic miles) of ice between 2002 and 2005.

Visualization of the 2007 Arctic sea ice minimum
Visualization of the 2007 Arctic sea ice minimum

Declining Arctic sea ice

Both the extent and thickness of Arctic sea ice has declined rapidly over the last several decades. 9

The disappearing snowcap of Mount Kilimanjaro, from space.
The disappearing snowcap of Mount Kilimanjaro, from space.

Glacial retreat

Glaciers are retreating almost everywhere around the world — including in the Alps, Himalayas, Andes, Rockies, Alaska and Africa.10

Record high temperatures increasing.

Extreme events

The number of record high temperature events in the United States has been increasing, while the number of record low temperature events has been decreasing, since 1950. The U.S. has also witnessed increasing numbers of intense rainfall events.11

The carbon dioxide content of the Earth’s oceans has been increasing since 1750, and is currently increasing about 2 billion tons per year. This has increased ocean acidity by about 30 percent.

Ocean acidification

Since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, the acidity of surface ocean waters has increased by about 30 percent.12,13 This increase is the result of humans emitting more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere and hence more being absorbed into the oceans. The amount of carbon dioxide absorbed by the upper layer of the oceans is increasing by about 2 billion tons per year.14,15

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References

1 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, Summary for Policymakers, p. 5

B.D. Santer et.al., “A search for human influences on the thermal structure of the atmosphere,” Nature vol 382, 4 July 1996, 39-46

Gabriele C. Hegerl, “Detecting Greenhouse-Gas-Induced Climate Change with an Optimal Fingerprint Method,” Journal of Climate, v. 9, October 1996, 2281-2306

V. Ramaswamy et.al., “Anthropogenic and Natural Influences in the Evolution of Lower Stratospheric Cooling,” Science 311 (24 February 2006), 1138-1141

B.D. Santer et.al., “Contributions of Anthropogenic and Natural Forcing to Recent Tropopause Height Changes,” Science vol. 301 (25 July 2003), 479-483.

2 In the 1860s, physicist John Tyndall recognized the Earth's natural greenhouse effect and suggested that slight changes in the atmospheric composition could bring about climatic variations. In 1896, a seminal paper by Swedish scientist Svante Arrhenius first speculated that changes in the levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere could substantially alter the surface temperature through the greenhouse effect.

3 National Research Council (NRC), 2006. Surface Temperature Reconstructions For the Last 2,000 Years. National Academy Press, Washington, DC.

4 Church, J. A. and N.J. White (2006), A 20th century acceleration in global sea level rise, Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L01602, doi:10.1029/2005GL024826.

The global sea level estimate described in this work can be downloaded
from the CSIRO website.

5http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/ anomalies/index.html

http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp

6 T.C. Peterson et.al., "State of the Climate in 2008," Special Supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, v. 90, no. 8, August 2009, pp. S17-S18.

7 I. Allison et.al., The Copenhagen Diagnosis: Updating the World on the Latest Climate Science, UNSW Climate Change Research Center, Sydney, Australia, 2009, p. 11

http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/news/20100121/

http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2009/ 01apr_deepsolarminimum.htm

8 Levitus, et al, "Global ocean heat content 1955–2008 in light of recently revealed instrumentation problems," Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, L07608 (2009).

9 L. Polyak, et.al., “History of Sea Ice in the Arctic,” in Past Climate Variability and Change in the Arctic and at High Latitudes, U.S. Geological Survey, Climate Change Science Program Synthesis and Assessment Product 1.2, January 2009, chapter 7

R. Kwok and D. A. Rothrock, “Decline in Arctic sea ice thickness from submarine and ICESAT records: 1958-2008,” Geophysical Research Letters, v. 36, paper no. L15501, 2009

http://nsidc.org/sotc/sea_ice.html

10 National Snow and Ice Data Center

World Glacier Monitoring Service

11 http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/extremes/cei.html

12 http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/co2/story/What+is+Ocean+Acidification%3F (Note: The pH of surface ocean waters has fallen by 0.1 pH units. Since the pH scale is logarithmic, this change represents approximately a 30 percent increase in acidity.)

13 http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/co2/story/Ocean+Acidification

14 C. L. Sabine et.al., “The Oceanic Sink for Anthropogenic CO2,” Science vol. 305 (16 July 2004), 367-371

15 Copenhagen Diagnosis, p. 36.

Humans are largely responsible for recent climate change  


smoke coming from a factory

Over the past century, human activities have released large amounts of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. The majority of greenhouse gases come from burning fossil fuels to produce energy, although deforestation, industrial processes, and some agricultural practices also emit gases into the atmosphere.

Greenhouse gases act like a blanket around Earth, trapping energy in the atmosphere and causing it to warm. This phenomenon is called the greenhouse effect and is natural and necessary to support life on Earth. However, the buildup of greenhouse gases can change Earth's climate and result in dangerous effects to human health and welfare and to ecosystems.

The choices we make today will affect the amount of greenhouse gases we put in the atmosphere in the near future and for years to come.

Climate change is happening  


Our Earth is warming. Earth's average temperature has risen by 1.4°F over the past century, and is projected to rise another 2 to 11.5°F over the next hundred years. Small changes in the average temperature of the planet can translate to large and potentially dangerous shifts in climate and weather.

The evidence is clear. Rising global temperatures have been accompanied by changes in weather and climate. Many places have seen changes in rainfall, resulting in more floods, droughts, or intense rain, as well as more frequent and severe heat waves. The planet's oceans and glaciers have also experienced some big changes - oceans are warming and becoming more acidic, ice caps are melting, and sea levels are rising. As these and other changes become more pronounced in the coming decades, they will likely present challenges to our society and our environment.

آغاز نشست تغییرات آب‌وهوایی سازمان ملل در قطر(به نقل از خبرنامه انجمن اقلیم شناسی)

دور دیگری از مذاکرات مربوط به تغییرات آب‌وهوایی از روز دوشنبه در دوحه قطر آغاز شد. در این اجلاس که ادامه نشست‌های سازمان ملل متحد از بیست سال پیش است، نمایندگان حدود دویست کشور جهان شرکت دارند و دستور کار آن مقابله با گرمایش کره زمین و کمک به کشورهای فقیر برای انطباق با آن است.

خبرگزاری آسوشیتدپرس می‌نویسد که مذاکرات بیست سال گذشته نتوانسته‌اند هدف‌های اصلی این طرح یعنی کاهش گازهای گلخانه‌ای را که علت اصلی گرمایش کره زمین است تامین کنند.

سه سال پیش در اجلاس کپنهاگ کشورهای عضو نتوانستند در مورد یک معاهده بین‌المللی جدید در زمینه کاهش گازهای گلخانه‌ای به توافق برسند. اما سال گذشته قرار شد فرصت دیگری برای ادامه این مذاکرات فراهم شده و تا سال ۲۰۱۵ کشورهای عضو در مورد معاهده تازه‌ای به توافق برسند.

برای تنظیم یک معاهده جدید مسائل مختلفی که تاکنون اختلاف برانگیز بوده‌اند باید حل شوند که یکی از مهم‌ترین عناصر آن نحوه تقسیم مسئولیت برای کاهش مصرف سوخت‌های فسیلی بین کشورهای غنی و فقیر است. بعید است در جریان مذاکرات دو هفته‌ای که در شهر دوحه برگزار می‌شود در این زمینه توافقی حاصل شود.

ادامه نوشته

نخستین كنفرانس ملی آب و هواشناسی ایران

نخستین كنفرانس ملی آب و هواشناسی در اواخر اردیبهشت ماه 1392 در دانشگاه تحصیلات تكمیلی صنعتی و فناوری پیشرفته كرمان برگزار می گردد. اطلاعات بیشتر در سایت كنفرانس كه در حال آماده سازی است ارائه خواهد شد. لازم دانستیم از این طریق محورها و قالب مقالات را پیش تر ارائه دهیم.

محورهای همایش:

  • تئوری و فلسفه آب و هواشناسی – طرح تئوری های بنیادی در حوزه آب و هواشناسی
  • آب و هواشناسی همدید و دینامیک(خاورمیانه و ایران)
  • آب و هوا شناسی آماری- مدل سازی و شبیه سازی آب و هوا
  • سنجش از دور- آب و هوا شناسی ماهواره ای
  • آب و هوا شناسی کاربردی
  • مخاطرات جوی و پدیده های حدّی آب و هوا
  • آب و هوا و جامعه- آب و هوا شناسی زیستی، آب و هوا شناسی سلامت
  • آب و هوا شناسی کشاورزی
  • هیدرو آب و هوا
  • آب و هوا شناسی دیرینه
  • آب و هوا شناسی شهری
  • تغییرات و وردایی های آب و هوایی-پیش بینی آب و هوا
  • داده ها و تکنیک های آب و هوا
  • آب و هوا شناسی و گردشگری
  • آب و هواشناسی و معماری

با تشکر از دوست عزیز دکتر حمید نظری پور

عضو هیات علمیدانشگاه تحصیلات تكمیلی صنعتی و فناوری پیشرفته كرمان